Tri-Valley Luxury Market Report: Alamo, Danville & More | Sept 2026
Luxury buyers in the Tri-Valley have more choice than they’ve had in years. Inventory is up in all four of our cities, mortgage rates hit their 2026 high in October, and the pace of sales is splitting city by city. In the luxury tier, Alamo and Dublin are still moving quickly, while Danville and San Ramon have slowed.
How this report differs from our blog on six trends:
Our earlier fall update looked at all home types using Redfin data. This report focuses only on the luxury segment: detached homes priced over $2,000,000 with at least 3,000 square feet, using Contra Costa Association of REALTORS® MLS data through September 2026. It also uses mostly 2026 year-to-date figures rather than single months. The two don’t always move together. In Dublin, for example, overall prices fell 8.2% this fall, while luxury homes sold faster than last year. That gap is part of the story.
Six Headlines Moving the Luxury Market
Macro trends affect everyone, and buyers feel them first. Rates, the Fed, the stock market and insurance costs all shape who is shopping and what they can pay.
We track those trends closely while we work our micro market: Alamo, Danville, San Ramon and Dublin.
Most homes get sold the same way regardless of conditions. We don’t do that. Instead, we adjust the levers that matter for this market, from price and terms to timing, prep and presentation, so every sale is built for the buyers who are actually out there.